McCain/_______:Who Will be the Running Mate?
I am enjoying the speculations of Gullyborg at “Resistance is Futile” as to who John McCain will choose as his running mate.
He nails McCain’s manipulation of Huckabee….
….my real point is that McCain won’t choose Huckabee as his running mate. He played Huckabee, got him to stay in the race long enough to force out Thompson, Giuliani, and Romney… now he serves no purpose and can be discarded. McCain is a back stabber egomaniac, after all.
He goes on to point out how Huckabee can still screw things up for McCain if he gets enough votes, regardless of delegate count.
…if he can get enough people to vote for him simply as “not McCain” that, in terms of actual votes and not delegates, he could “win” the nomination even if he doesn’t. Imagine if, after all the primaries are done, McCain has “won” the delegate count but is far behind in terms of actual votes… that could lead to a breakdown of the nomination process and all hell could break loose at the convention.
After weighing the likely impact of Thompson and Romney, he posits that selecting Giuliani has better all around payoff and, quite frankly, I can live with that.
It isn’t about winning big in Red States. It is about holding on to Red States, even if by only one vote, and making gains in Blue States. McCain/Giuliani does that.
So what if the GOP loses Kansas? What is that, like six votes in the Electoral College? McCain/Giuliani could win New Jersey. That’s more than double. They could win Pennsylvania. That’s more than triple. They could force the democrats to spend all their money retaining New York and California, leaving states like Ohio and Florida safe in GOP hands - and the democrats CAN’T win the Electoral College without taking a state like Ohio or Florida away from the GOP.
McCain also benefits from ticket balancing with Giuliani. Not liberal/conservative, but in other ways. Giuliani is a lawyer and an executive. He has a record of running things. As VP, he could be tasked with running a number of projects for the administration - and would probably do them well.
My prediction: McCain/Giuliani, and they win BIG in the Electoral College even without getting the conservative base out in droves.
Yup, I can live with a McCain/Giuliani ticket. Sort of… given both he and McCain are too easy on illegals, and well, if I start thinking of the many trepidations I have about McCain, I realize that Obama is the only reason I have gravitated towards voting for McCain at all. The more I read about him, the more appealing McCain becomes.
And Giuliani can name the enemy, whereas an Obama presidency will probably inspire the enemy to name their kids after him.
What say you?
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